UK/Europe Long Range monthly forecasts

HOME
WEATHERDAYS: SHORT WEATHER COURSES
EASY INDEX
HOW TO GET BEST VALUE
ORDER & INFO REQUEST FORM
COMPLETING YOUR ORDER & PAYMENT METHODS
CREDIT CARD PAYMENTS
HELP IN CHOOSING A FORECAST PACKAGE
ABOUT 'SET DATE' FORECASTS
ABOUT 'ADD ONS', GIFTS & SPECIALISED FORECASTS
'JUSTCALL' TELEPHONE FORECASTS
EUROPEAN HOLIDAY/BUSINESS TRAVEL FORECASTS
EASYWEATHER SUMMER SUN TRAVEL FORECASTS
OUTDOOR EVENT FORECASTS
LOCATION FORECASTS
1-2 MONTH LOCAL UK & EUROPEAN FORECASTS
SEVERE WEATHER ALERTS
UK WEEKLY FORECAST/ MAP
UK MIDWEEK OUTLOOK
WEEKLY FORECAST CHARTS (PREMIUM SERVICE)
AGRICULTURAL & HORTICULTURAL FORECASTS
UK MOUNTAIN FORECASTS
NEW! UK HEALTH & ALLERGY FORECASTS
UK/EUROPE LONG RANGE FORECAST
LATEST UK WEATHER CHARTS
CURRENT UK CITIES WEATHER
CURRENT UK COASTAL WEATHER
UK/EUROPE 3 DAY FORECASTS
UK WEATHER EXTREMES PRE 2004 & 2004-2008
WEATHER & OTHER LINKS
FEEDBACK
PRESS & PR
TERMS OF USE

 

 

 

The UK long range July monthly forecast 

 
We issue this free public longe range forecast each month. This is only a 'summary' of expected weather though and not a detailed forecast and can also be found at the bottom of this page in a 'pop up'  format.. just click on the image to view it. You may link to this forecast area without permission if you wish.
 
How are we doing? See our long range forecast verification page just

July 2008 long range forecast

Summary: CET temperature 15.8C or 0.7C below average; rainfall 125% and sunshine 90%* 

The average July CET 1971-2000 was 16.5C, last July 15.2, 2006 19.7C

Issued: 30th June 1100BST 

After a very average June with figures close to the means for most values, though notably dry and sunny in the SW and wet in central and eastern Scotland, the pattern seems set to change in the next week to a rather unsettled set up, although not a classically mobile one. This will give the UK one of the cooler Julies of the last decade or so. As high pressure becomes slow moving just about everywhere except over the UK, it looks like cool unsettled pools of upper air will settled across the UK and lead to slow moving areas of low pressure for most parts initially although a more NE'ly flow seems likely into week 2 and 3 with pressure high to the NE of Scotland. It will feel particularly poor, not so much because it is unusually poor but because the southerly patterns we have come to expect in recent summers will be absent. In fact it is worth noting that in recent years there have been an increasing number of summer months in which a cyclonic or more N'ly pattern has in fact dominated. Later in the month high pressure may become a little more dominant however, and brief periods of anticyclonic conditions and then short lived southerly flows will see the temperatures rising to near or a little above average values, although we don't expected any protracted warm spells. Warmth will be short lived and soon replaced by fresher westerlies.      

Overall temperatures will be slightly below average on the whole, especially in the NE and east and especially below average by night in the north. However they may be nearer average in the far south and the SW. Rainfall is likely to be somewhat above average for most parts, especially across central parts though locally parts of the south and the far north may well be near or possibly slightly below average. Sunshine will be rather below the long term average for most parts but nearer average in the parts of the south and possibly far north. Winds will generally be near average speed overall though the east coasts could be rather breezy at times. Thunder will be near average in central, southern and western areas, nearer or below average in the east/NE. Sea temperatures will continue to be near or slightly above normal around the UK, except in the Celtic and Irish Seas where they will be a degree below normal whilst the southern North Sea and east Channel sees temperature 1-2C above average still. Soil temperatures will tend to be near average for most parts with soil moisture deficits slightly below average in the north but near or a little above average in the south, though with some deficits remaining in parts of the SW and E Anglia.   

Week 1 1st-7th July

The months starts with deep low pressure across the Atlantic west of Ireland and high pressure dominating the near continent, giving a short lived southerly flow across the UK. It will be warm in the south and east but bands of showery rain will soon move east across the country giving a short wet spell which may be on the  thundery side in a few places in the south and east. Clearer fresher weather will move across all parts by the 2nd though but there will be plenty of showers, some heavy in the west with a rumble of thunder. Pulses of heavier showery rain may especially affect parts of Wales and the north west on the 3rd and 4th and the SW on the 4th into the 5th. Almost anywhere though could see some heavy and potentially thundery showers in this period with the risk of some hail mixed in. Some mist or low cloud could form inland overnight in the relatively light winds, especially if there have been a lot of showers with wet ground. The end of the weekend seems likely to see areas of low pressure dominant across southern or central parts so a continuation of cool cloudy weather, though some bright starts in the east especially but cloud soon bubbling up to give showers, which could again be heavy almost anywhere with a rumble or two of thunder and small hail. The driest and sunniest places in this period probably in the east and SE.        

Temperatures rather below average after a short lived warm start in the east and perhaps not too far off average in some SE parts overall, as nights will not be all that chilly except across central Scotland at times. Rainfall generally above average in the west and central parts but probably nearer average in the east, SE and NE though prone to local anomalies due to the showery nature of the period with sunshine generally below average in most parts, perhaps well below in the west but less so in the east and SE. 

'Further monthly details for weeks 2-5 are available via our premium rate service as well as detailed forecasts for local regions or your own town/village. 

Extended forecasts right through until the end of August 2008 are also available for ANY area of the UK or ANY area of Europe, at local, regional or country wide levels. Just ask us!

The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of this data. Wiseweather provides this data "as is"  and disclaim any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will  Wiseweather be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data

UK SUMMARY MAP FOR JULY 2008

julysummarymap.jpg
 

UK MONTHLY PRESS RELEASES
Monthly: issued at the end of each month for the next monthly period.

NEW: Click the image to the right for a 'pop up view' of the monthly 'Wiseweather' July long range forecast press release

The July forecast will be issued on July 31st. 

June08summary.jpg

Wiseweather disclaimer  

The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of this data. Wiseweather is providing this data "as is" and disclaims any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will Wiseweather or its contactors be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.